Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation: Theory and Experiments

Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation: Theory and Experiments

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Extends research on model-based exploratory analysis for strategic planning with massive scenario generation (MSG), a technique that combines virtues of human-intensive and model-intensive exploration of “the possibility space.” Metrics are identified for measuring the virtues of a particular approach to MSG, and two experiments using MSG are described, one starting with a reasonable but untested analytical model, the other starting without a model but with a list of distinguishing conditions.