Conflict with China: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence

Conflict with China: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence

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This paper presents some scenarios that, if they were to come to pass, could result in military conflict with China over the next thirty years. The authors begin by exploring different plausible sources of conflict — whether it be the collapse of North Korea, possible dwindling relations between Taiwan and China, or other contingencies involving Japan or India. They discuss the operational implications each might present the United States and then turn to the requirements for defense and deterrence.